[ Chapter 04 — Horizon ]

After intelligence

The orb you're staring at doesn't exist. It's pure mathematics, deformed by noise and light every sixtieth of a second. Drag it. The future feels much the same — malleable, if you push.

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[ Projections, not promises ]

The curve keeps bending upward

10^29
FLOPs of projected frontier compute by 2030
$1T
Forecast global AI infrastructure spend
90%
Of digital content projected to be AI-assisted
1B
People expected to use AI tools daily

[ The road ahead ]

Milestones we can see from here

~2027

Agentic workflows

Models stop answering questions and start completing missions — planning, browsing, coding and verifying across hours of autonomous work with humans as editors, not operators.

~2029

Scientific co-pilots

Hypothesis generation at industrial scale. Materials, drugs and theorems discovered in simulation first; laboratories become places where machines propose and humans dispose.

~2032

Personal models

Your lifetime of context — files, health, taste, correspondence — distilled into an on-device intelligence that knows you better than any cloud service ever could. Privacy stops being a trade-off.

20??

The open question

Somewhere past this line sits either the best tool our species ever built or its most interesting successor. Alignment research is the art of making sure those are the same thing.

The future is not something we enter. It is something we build — one gradient step at a time.

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